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GBP/USD Follows Risk Trade by Fast Brokers – May 19, 2010

The Cable is in sync with the EUR/USD popping from intraday lows following yesterday’s nasty selloff resulting from Germany’s surprise decision to suspend short selling of government bonds until March 2011.  The decision shocked the risk trade, sending the Cable back towards its psychological 1.42 level.  The Cable is now dealing with March 2009 levels in what can be seen as a large step back for the currency pair.  The BoE meeting minutes showed that they believe price growth we’ve seen is temporary, they are more concerned that issues in the EU could spill over into the UK.  This is not the news investors wanted to hear as the parliament tries to move ahead with a coalition government.  The Tories are still on track to introduce an emergency budget on June 22nd, though the 6 billion pound deficit reduction is a flash in the pan compared to debt outstanding.  Meanwhile, as with the rest of the risk trade the Cable is just trying to form some kind of lasting bottom as the downturn carries on.  That being said, investors should continue to monitor conditions in the EU as government officials whether aggressive demands from Merkel & Co.  For further disintegration in the EU could drag the Cable lower with the EUR/USD.  The UK will splash the data wire tomorrow with its retail sales release and a positive figure could help buoy the Cable.  However, attention will likely remain focused on the EU as they scramble for solutions.

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Chart of the Day – 5/19/2010 – AUD/USD by FX Solutions – May 19, 2010

5/19/2010 – AUD/USD – Substantially bearish price action on AUD/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, has finally broken down significantly below the sideways trading range that has characterized this currency pair since late 2009. This occurred today with a clean and swift breakdown below the 0.8600 price region, establishing a new 8-month low in the process. This range breakdown potentially opens the way for the beginnings of a possible new downtrend. A key downside support target for this breakdown resides around the 0.8200 price region. The broken 0.8600 previous range support should now serve as tentative upside resistance within the context of the strong current bearishness.

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EUR/USD 19th May ’10 by Forex4you

This week the bears yelled ‘sell’ when prices dropped below the ’08 lows, thus breaking the rising sequence of peaks and troughs, intact since ’00. This represented a technical tipping point.

Whilst prices currently have found support on the 50% Fibonacci line from the ’00 bull market and may bounce there is little additional evidence for a reversal of any magnitude. Any rise might reach 1.24 before rolling over or if has legs go to the 1.33s.

There is a cluster of targets near to1.17 including the point and figure chart objective from the ’09 highs, old lows and the one third speed line from the ’00 rally. I would expect further downside to find support there.

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USDJPY Тechnical analysis by Bulbrokers – May 19, 2010

The short term picture remains neutral as the pair continues to trade in range below the resistance at 94.70, which is 38.2% FIbo retracement of the 110.64-84.71 drop. If broken successfully next targets will be the resistances at 96.80 and 97.70, which is 50.0% FIbo retracement of the mentioned drop. On the downside, support is seen at 91.50, followed by 90.90 and the psychological 90.00.

Support 92.50 91.70 90.00
Resistance 94.70 96.80 97.70

–Bulbrokers–

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New Rapidshare Account – Mar 02, 2010

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New Premium Rapidshare account – Mar 1, 2010

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Megaupload and Mediafire accounts – Feb 27, 2010

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New Rapidshare account – Jan 2, 2010

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